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After year five21 October 2026 · 6 min read

A €50,000 freelancer pays €7,208 of flat tax in year seven, five times year six

The regime has no time limit: what ends after five tax periods is the 5% start-up rate. Because each year's advance is computed on the year before, the first 15% year is paid at 5%, and the seventh pays its balance and a full 15% advance together. Billing €50,000, that is €1,442 in year six and €7,208 in year seven.

In short
  • The regime itself has no time limit. Comma 71 ends it when a condition fails or billing passes €100,000; the only five-period rule in commi 54–89 is the 5% rate of comma 65.
  • From the sixth tax period the rate is 15%, and the 2027 testo unico (art. 235) keeps the same five periods.
  • Each year's advance is 100% of the previous year's tax, so the sixth year's advances are computed at 5% and the year pays what year five paid: €1,442 on €50,000 of billing.
  • The seventh year pays year six's balance of €2,883 plus a 15% advance of €4,325: €7,208, exactly five times year six at every billing level and profitability share modelled.
  • From year eight it settles at €4,325. Computing year six's advance on the expected 15% tax spreads the step evenly instead.

A freelancer who opened a partita IVA on Italy’s flat tax and bills €50,000 a year pays €1,442 of substitute tax in their sixth calendar year and €7,208 in their seventh. Nothing about the business changes between the two. The regime carries on after five years; what stops is the 5% start-up rate, and the payment rules move the first full year at 15% onto the year after it.12

What ends after five years

Comma 65 of the 2014 budget law gives a new activity a 5% rate “per il periodo d’imposta in cui l’attività è iniziata e per i quattro successivi”. Those are tax periods, which for a person are calendar years, so a partita IVA opened in any month of 2021 spent its fifth 5% year in 2025 and pays 15% from 2026. The rate it falls back to is the one comma 64 sets for everyone else.13

Comma 71 lists what ends the regime itself: one of the entry conditions of comma 54 ceasing to hold, one of the exclusions of comma 57 applying, or billing above €100,000. The passage of time is not on the list.3 Searching commi 54 to 89 for “quattro successivi”, “quinquennio”, “cinque anni”, “cinque periodi” and an age limit turns up four matches. One is comma 65’s rate. The other three sit in commi 87 and 88, the transitional rules for people coming from the regimes the flat tax replaced: the old regime di vantaggio ran for a “quinquennio agevolato”, a favoured five-year period, and for younger holders “comunque fino al compimento del trentacinquesimo anno di età”. A flat-rate scheme with a five-year life did exist before 2015, and the current regime is not that scheme.3

From 1 January 2027 the regime moves into the consolidated income-tax code, and article 235, comma 2 repeats the five-period rule in the same words. Someone in their sixth year in 2027 or later meets the same arithmetic.4

Year six looks like year five

For a professional the taxable base is 78% of billing, less the Gestione separata contributions paid in the year at 26.07%. On €50,000 that is €39,000, less €10,167.30 of contributions. At 5% the year’s tax is €1,441.64; at 15% it is €4,324.90.352

The flat tax is paid like income tax. During each year the taxpayer pays an advance equal to 100% of the previous year’s tax, and the following June settles the difference.67 So the advances paid during year six are computed on year five’s tax at 5%. The year in which 15% first applies is a year in which the account pays €1,441.64, to the cent what it paid the year before.2

Year seven pays twice

The 15% arrives in the seventh year, in two pieces. The June balance for year six is its real tax less the advances paid against it: €4,324.90 less €1,441.64, or €2,883.27. On top of that comes the advance for year seven, now computed on a 15% year: €4,324.90. Together that is €7,208.17, five times year six.2

Figure 1Substitute tax paid in each calendar year, billing €50,000

Professional services on the 78% profitability share, Gestione separata at 26.07%, constant billing, no deductible costs, 2026 parameters held fixed. Years one to five at 5%, from year six at 15%. Advances on the historical method, 100% of the previous year's tax.21

Most of it lands on one date. The Agenzia delle Entrate reads the rule on equal instalments as covering the flat tax, so a forfettario splits its advance 50/50 rather than the general 40/60.8 The June payment of year seven is then €5,045.72, against €720.82 the June before; on a 40/60 split it would be €4,613.23. The year’s total is €7,208.17 either way.2

The pension contribution does not move, so total payments to the Agenzia and INPS go from €11,608.93 in year six to €17,375.47 in year seven, and settle at €14,492.20 from year eight. The seventh-year excess over a settled 15% year is €2,883.27, which is year six’s unpaid difference and nothing more. Over any run of years the payments add up to the tax owed. The same lag, at the other end of the five years, is what nearly doubles a new practice’s second-year bill; what the 15% costs a year once settled was priced in an earlier piece.

Figure 2Substitute tax paid in years six, seven and eight, by annual billing
BillingYear sixYear sevenYear eight on
€20,000€576.65€2,883.27€1,729.96
€30,000€864.98€4,324.90€2,594.94
€50,000€1,441.64€7,208.17€4,324.90
€70,000€2,018.29€10,091.44€6,054.87
€85,000€2,450.78€12,253.90€7,352.34

Same assumptions as figure 1. The seventh year is five times the sixth at every billing level from €10,000 to €85,000 and every profitability share from 40% to 86% the script was run on.2

The ratio is exact, not approximate. Year six pays one unit of the old 5% tax. Year seven pays the new tax twice less that unit, and the new tax is three units, so it pays five. That holds whatever the billing and whatever the profitability share, as long as billing stays level; a growing business pays more in year seven, not less.

The method that spreads it

Nothing obliges the payment to wait. If year six’s advance is computed on the 15% tax expected for year six rather than on year five’s actual tax — the method Italian practice calls previsionale — each of years six, seven and eight pays €4,324.90 and the seventh-year peak disappears.2 On the historical method, which is what the payment rules produce by default, nothing in the year-six bill shows that the rate has changed.6

What this does not settle

The figures assume a professional insured with the Gestione separata, billing the same amount every year, with no deductible costs and 2026 rates throughout. Artisans and traders pay a fixed minimum to a different INPS fund and are not modelled, though the timing of the tax works the same way for them. Where the first instalment of an advance would be €103 or less, the whole advance is paid in November instead; on the 78% share that does not arise from €10,000 of billing upwards.7

Someone who never had the 5%, because their activity continued earlier work, pays 15% from the first year and has no step to meet. And the five periods count from the year the partita IVA was opened, however late in that year; when that matters is set out in a separate piece.1

Download the data (CSV)Substitute tax owed and paid (June, November, year total), Gestione separata contributions paid and total payments, for years four to nine of a 78%-share professional, at €5,000 steps of constant billing from €10,000 to €85,000. 2026 rules.

Sources

  1. 1.Normattiva — L. 190/2014, art. 1, comma 65 (testo in vigore al 13 agosto 2026): aliquota del 5 per cento per il periodo d'imposta di inizio attività e i quattro successivi, a condizione fra l'altro che l'attività «non costituisca, in nessun modo, mera prosecuzione di altra attività precedentemente svolta sotto forma di lavoro dipendente o autonomo»
  2. 2.TaxCompass dataset — substitute tax owed and paid, and total payments, in years four to nine of a forfettario professional practice, across the end of the 5% start-up rate, by billing, 2026 rules (CSV)
  3. 3.Normattiva — L. 190/2014, art. 1 commi 54–89 e Allegato 4 (regime forfettario, coefficienti di redditività)
  4. 4.Normattiva — D.Lgs. 117/2026, Testo unico delle imposte sui redditi (Capo XXI, artt. 232–243: regime forfetario; art. 376: abrogazioni; art. 377: decorrenza; Allegato D: coefficienti)
  5. 5.INPS — Circolare 3 febbraio 2026, n. 8: Gestione separata, aliquote 2026 (26,07% per i professionisti), massimale 122.295,00 euro, minimale 18.808,00 euro
  6. 6.Normattiva — D.Lgs. 33/2025 (testo unico versamenti e riscossione), Allegato, art. 72, comma 1: acconto pari al 100 per cento dell'imposta relativa al periodo precedente
  7. 7.Normattiva — D.P.R. 435/2001, art. 17 (razionalizzazione dei termini di versamento): saldo entro il 30 giugno, 0,40% per i trenta giorni successivi, acconto in due rate del 40% e del 60%
  8. 8.Agenzia delle Entrate — Risoluzione 12 novembre 2019, n. 93/E: acconti in due rate del 50 per cento, «anziché 40 e 60 per cento», anche per i contribuenti che applicano il regime forfetario e per la loro imposta sostitutiva

Every external figure above links to the document it came from. Datasets we produced are downloadable, so the arithmetic is checkable rather than taken on trust.

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