- Tax and pension contributions are both paid as a balance for the year just ended plus two advances on the year running, on 30 June and 30 November.
- The advance is 100% of the previous year's amount, so a first year carries none — and its own bill is not due until the following June.
- The second calendar year therefore pays twice the first year's bill: €24,235 on €50,000 of billing at the 5% rate, €32,035 at 15%.
- €16,964 of that falls on one date, 30 June, being the whole balance plus the first 40% of the advance.
- Because the regime is proportional, the second year takes 48.47% of a year's turnover at every €5,000 step from €10,000 to €85,000.
- It is timing, not extra tax: over the five start-up periods the practice owes €58,045 and pays €58,045.
A consultant moves to Milan, opens a partita IVA on 2 January, and joins the flat-tax regime at the 5% rate new activities get for their first five years.1 They bill €50,000 that year. Between January and December nothing is asked of them. Their invoices carry no withholding, because comma 67 exempts flat-rate income from it, and there is no instalment to pay either.
Eighteen months after the first invoice, on 30 June of the second year, €16,964 falls due on a single date. By the end of that second calendar year €24,235 has left the account — 48% of a year’s billing, under a regime whose headline number is 5%.11 Once the schedule settles, the same practice pays €11,609 a year.
Nothing here is a penalty or a surcharge. Three provisions about when money is due put two years into one, and the arithmetic follows.
The year that costs nothing
Italy collects income tax from the self-employed in three payments a year: a balance for the year just ended, due 30 June, and two advances on the year currently running, the first of them on the same date and the second in November.2 Pension contributions ride on exactly the same dates — article 18 of the 1997 collection decree sends them “entro gli stessi termini previsti per il versamento delle somme dovute in base alla dichiarazione dei redditi”.4 Flat-tax professionals are inside both rules: comma 64 ends by applying the ordinary income-tax payment provisions to the substitute tax.1
The advance is not a fraction. Since 2013 it has been the whole of the previous year’s tax: la misura dell’acconto dell’imposta sul reddito delle persone fisiche è fissata al 100 per cento.3 INPS computes its own advance the same way, on the previous year’s income at the current year’s rate.6
That is the whole mechanism. An advance measured on the previous tax period cannot be charged to someone who has no previous tax period, so a first year carries no advance, and its balance is not due until the June after it closes. The first year is not cheap; it is unbilled. On €50,000 of billing it generates €12,117 — €10,167 of Gestione separata contributions at 26.07% and €1,950 of substitute tax.57
The June that carries two years
On 30 June of the second year, two things arrive together: the whole balance for year one, and the first instalment of the advance for year two — 40% of it, with the remaining 60% due 30 November.2 For tax and contributions together that is €16,964 in June and €7,270 in November.
The year’s total, €24,235, is exactly twice the first year’s bill. The balance and the advance are computed on the same figure, and the calendar puts both of them inside the same twelve months.
The two halves of the payment do not even share a section of the form. The substitute tax has three codes of its own, created the year the regime was: 1792 for the balance, 1790 and 1791 for the two instalments of the advance.8 The contributions sit lower down, in the INPS section, under causale contributo PXX.9
Year one has no bar because nothing is due during it. Professional services on the 78% coefficient of Allegato 4, insured with the Gestione separata at 26.07%, billing €50,000 in every year, activity opened on 1 January. Balance plus two advances at the statutory dates; advance at 100% of the prior year, split 40/60. The two series are the 5% rate of comma 65 and the 15% rate of comma 64, each held constant across the five periods so the schedule is not confused with a rate change.1125
The sage bars are the 5% start-up rate, the dark ones the standard 15%. Neither profile pays anything in its first year and both pay roughly two years’ worth in their second: €24,235 at 5%, €32,035 at 15%. The peak is not something the start-up rate does.
Nor does the size of the practice change the shape. The regime is proportional — a fixed share of billing is treated as income, one rate applies to it, and the Gestione separata sets no minimum contribution for professionals — so the second year takes 48.47% of a year’s turnover at every €5,000 step from €10,000 to €85,000. Only the amount moves.11
A deduction that arrives late
There is a second, quieter effect in the same sentence of comma 64. Contributions are deducted from the flat-rate income, but the word the statute uses is versati — paid. Not accrued, not due: paid.1
A first year has paid none, so it is taxed on the whole €39,000 of flat-rate income and owes €1,950. A settled year deducts the €10,167 it paid and owes €1,442. On identical billing, the first year’s tax is 35% higher than every later year’s.11
The second year inverts it. Two years of contributions are paid inside it — €20,335 — so its taxable income falls to €18,665 and the tax it generates, €933, is the lowest of any year in the table. The year with the smallest tax bill is the year with the largest payment.
| Tax period | Owed | 30 June | 30 Nov | Paid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | €12,117 | €0 | €0 | €0 |
| Year 2 | €11,101 | €16,964 | €7,270 | €24,235 |
| Year 3 | €11,609 | €4,067 | €6,100 | €10,167 |
| Year 4 | €11,609 | €5,068 | €6,965 | €12,034 |
| Year 5 | €11,609 | €4,644 | €6,965 | €11,609 |
Owed is the liability the tax period generates: contributions at 26.07% of flat-rate income, plus the substitute tax on that income after the contributions actually paid during the year. June and November are the two statutory dates; paid is their sum. Rounded to whole euros, so a row may differ by one from its parts.116
Year three then pays less than it owes, because the tax side is carrying a credit from the oversized advance of year two; year four pays more than it owes, clearing it. The schedule stops oscillating in year five, when the advance already paid equals the liability and the balance is nil.
What this is not
It is not extra tax. Over the five start-up periods the practice owes €58,045 and pays €58,045 — the same figure to the cent.11 What the schedule does is move a year of money forward and keep it there: from the second June onwards the taxpayer is permanently one year prepaid, and gets that year back only on closing, as a credit against a final return.
It is also not unavoidable in full. An advance may be computed on the year it belongs to rather than on the year before — the metodo previsionale, allowed at the taxpayer’s own risk of penalties if the estimate falls short. On flat billing it helps very little, because the year being estimated looks like the year before it: the second year pays €23,218 instead of €24,235, which is still twice a settled year.
And it does not depend on reading the contribution deduction as cash-basis. Deducting contributions as they accrue instead — which is not what comma 64 says — puts the second year at €23,218. The doubling survives every version of the arithmetic tried here, because it comes from the payment calendar rather than from the tax base.
What this does not settle
The figures describe one profile: a professional insured with the Gestione separata on the 78% coefficient, with no other pension cover and no other income, billing the same amount every year, opening on 1 January. A practice that grows, shrinks, opens in October or sits in a different coefficient group will produce different numbers from the same rules.
The division between June and November is the general one — 40% then 60%. Taxpayers inside the perimeter of the sector studies pay the advance in two instalments of 50% each, which raises the June line and lowers November’s without changing what the calendar year costs.10 Two other options move money inside a year rather than between years: paying by 30 July with 0.40% added, and spreading the June payment in monthly instalments that have to finish by 16 December.26
The dates modelled are the statutory ones. Italy has postponed them by decree in several recent years, usually by weeks and usually announced late, so a given year’s real calendar can differ from the one in the code. What does not shift is which tax periods land in which calendar year, and that is what produces the second-year figure.
Finally, this is a description of what the rules produce, not a recommendation about what to do with the result. The regime’s own arithmetic is public and so is the schedule; what a particular practice should hold back, and when, is a conversation with an accountant who knows its books.
Download the dataset (CSV, 160 rows)Liability, the two statutory payment dates, and calendar-year cash for each of the first five tax periods, at every €5,000 of turnover from €10,000 to €85,000, on both the 5% and 15% rates.Sources
- 1.Normattiva — L. 190/2014, art. 1 commi 54–89 e Allegato 4 (regime forfettario, coefficienti di redditività)
- 2.Normattiva — D.P.R. 435/2001, art. 17 (razionalizzazione dei termini di versamento): saldo entro il 30 giugno, 0,40% per i trenta giorni successivi, acconto in due rate del 40% e del 60%
- 3.Normattiva — D.L. 76/2013, art. 11, comma 18: la misura dell'acconto dell'imposta sul reddito delle persone fisiche è fissata al 100 per cento
- 4.Normattiva — D.Lgs. 241/1997, art. 18, comma 4: i versamenti a saldo e in acconto dei contributi previdenziali seguono i termini della dichiarazione dei redditi
- 5.INPS — Circolare 3 febbraio 2026, n. 8: Gestione separata, aliquote 2026 (26,07% per i professionisti), massimale 122.295,00 euro, minimale 18.808,00 euro
- 6.INPS — Circolare 27 maggio 2026, n. 62: Quadro RR del modello Redditi 2026-PF, base imponibile del regime forfetario, calcolo dell'acconto 2026 e termini di versamento
- 7.Normattiva — L. 335/1995, art. 2 (INPS Gestione Separata)
- 8.Agenzia delle Entrate — Risoluzione 11 giugno 2015, n. 59/E: codici tributo 1790, 1791 e 1792 per l'imposta sostitutiva del regime forfetario
- 9.INPS — F24 per professionisti iscritti alla Gestione separata: termini di pagamento e causali contributo (PXX, P10, DPPI)
- 10.Normattiva — D.L. 124/2019, art. 58: per i soggetti nel perimetro degli ISA l'acconto è versato in due rate ciascuna del 50 per cento
- 11.TaxCompass dataset — liability and calendar-year cash for the first five years of a forfettario practice, by turnover and rate, 2026 rules (CSV)
Every external figure above links to the document it came from. Datasets we produced are downloadable, so the arithmetic is checkable rather than taken on trust.
- €1,314A freelancer on €50,000 keeps €1,314 less in Salerno than in Bolzanoa year separates the dearest comune from the cheapest, for the same €50,000 outside the flat tax
- €50,837Leave Italy after five years and €50,837 of INPS does not come with youpaid into INPS over five years by a professional billing €50,000, none of it repayable on leaving
- €2,031The same shop, opened a year later, pays €2,031 more in its first three yearsmore in pension contributions over three years, for the same business started in 2026 rather than 2025
- €31,065Your old employer can cost you €31,065 of flat taxthe flat tax a €50,000 consultancy loses over three tax years if its former employer stays the main client
- €13,025Same €4,000 a month: a builder bills €13,025 moremore billing a builder needs than a shop for the same €4,000 a month — the activity band, not the contributions
- €400Billing €30,000 in €150 invoices costs €400 in stamp dutya year in stamp duty for a €30,000 practice billed in €150 pieces — 46% of the tax due at 5%
- €4,925.50One euro of salary costs an employed freelancer €4,925.50more tax and contributions on the same €20,000 side practice, for an employee one euro over Italy's salary bar
- €259.53Pay Italy's June bill on day 121 and €259.53 lands at oncelands in one step on day 121, on the pension contribution that is six sevenths of an Italian flat-tax June bill
- €7.44An Italian artisan pays €7.44 a year for cover that isn't a pensiona year is the entire non-pension part of an Italian artisan's 2026 compulsory contribution
- €2,000A €2,000 gap with what your clients declared brings a letteris the widest margin in the document: the gap between declared fees and clients' certificates that selects you
- €72,338A shop billing €30,000 buys 7.8 months of pensionof billing is where the discount stops costing pension months, for a shop on the 40% coefficient
- €6,471Spend €6,471 running a €25,000 business and the flat tax stops payingof annual costs is where the flat tax stops paying for a professional billing €25,000
- €21,500A foreign professional in Italy saves €21,500. A business owner saves nothing.a year in income tax the relief takes off €100,000 — and nothing at all if that income is a business's
- 15Italy's flat tax changed 14 times. The 15% never did.versions of Italy's flat-tax rules since 2015, a new one every 185 days on median
- €440Italy's tax cut is worth €440 — nothing under €37,873 of billinga year at most, reached at €67,632 of billing and worth nothing at all below €37,873
- 18 of 18Italy repealed the forfettario and re-enacted it unchangedoperative numbers in the regime carry the same value in the text that replaces it on 1 January 2027
- 40%→67%A garage's taxable share jumped from 40% to 67%the coefficient a car mechanic's code resolves to before and after the renumbering
- 27Nobody in Brussels can abolish the forfettariogovernments would have to agree to legislate the regime away — Italy's among them
- €18,145Crossing €85,000 costs a professional €18,145 a yeara year in net income, the cost of crossing the €85,000 ceiling on the 78% coefficient
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